Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 11.839413 13.808843 15.953243 18.454957 21.286447 24.384701 28.024114
2025-11-09 8.240192 10.855241 13.999550 18.026146 23.009694 28.937030 36.478090
2025-11-16 6.127374 8.917903 12.552090 17.558466 24.191670 32.585762 43.903053
2025-11-23 4.644070 7.383305 11.208321 16.816492 24.682537 35.155587 49.951263
2025-11-30 3.971269 6.799925 10.984899 17.440031 26.915675 40.046206 59.281010
2025-12-07 3.454261 6.330594 10.814819 18.051220 29.106699 44.966092 68.931137
2025-12-14 2.836988 5.574825 10.075969 17.675111 29.750912 47.667744 75.564127
2025-12-21 2.325857 4.894510 9.341075 17.179423 30.106871 49.899964 81.581633
2025-12-28 2.121922 4.724013 9.421500 17.994285 32.555923 55.408487 92.783492
2026-01-04 1.911068 4.499208 9.368342 18.558890 34.618778 60.423194 103.495293
2026-01-11 1.665764 4.158156 9.052185 18.614348 35.811240 64.104960 112.304177
2026-01-18 1.454021 3.845544 8.742081 18.633690 36.919161 67.687402 121.117600
2026-01-25 1.221734 3.457726 8.263350 18.349445 37.584826 70.778873 129.669296
2026-02-01 1.012829 3.080082 7.754687 17.961106 38.056116 73.631499 138.120220
2026-02-08 0.834368 2.731195 7.246607 17.501625 38.336685 76.155058 146.156337
2026-02-15 0.669549 2.370975 6.646617 16.762889 37.990103 77.512279 152.227366
2026-02-22 0.610220 2.290181 6.682130 17.384943 40.366260 83.931667 167.522775
2026-03-01 0.556763 2.212765 6.712325 17.994517 42.760362 90.520052 183.457081
2026-03-08 0.464920 1.987891 6.332227 17.619432 43.081111 93.225984 192.494109
2026-03-15 0.383337 1.769310 5.926294 17.125089 43.091677 95.318484 200.489341
2026-03-22 0.359760 1.748399 6.055081 17.937744 45.990219 103.189580 219.653855
2026-03-29 0.329827 1.694893 6.082864 18.500829 48.378417 110.179643 237.475152
2026-04-05 0.288405 1.582513 5.919290 18.556138 49.626689 114.952183 251.276532